Trendfinder Trading Systems

September was a pretty quiet and mostly profitable month. It’s pretty remarkable how quiet the overall stock market has been. Historically, September has been the most volatile month of the year. One of these days volatile will increase again.

It was a fairly quiet and profitable month. All swing systems that traded were profitable except for the ones trading NQ (Nasdaq 100). Spring ES had a few trades, but there were no daytrades in the portfolios. Going forward the updated portfolios will be used.

It was a nicely profitable month. Almost every swing system that traded had a profit. Two intraday systems had trades and were profitable. Every portfolio was profitable.

Swing trading results were mixed, and the day trading systems had nice profits. Seeing the way these strategies are performing following the market drop in early February, it might be time to bring back the day trading system portfolios.

At the end of May I said I would be releasing a new day trading system in June. Where did the time go? This new system is finished, and I will likely release it in July. I have this one and some others that I am watching live that look good. They are all developed with walk forward analysis which reduces the chances of over fitting and allows the system to adapt to future market conditions. At the end of this blog post you will find performance info for one of these new systems which trades the ES (S&p 500). Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

New intraday system coming soon (trades the ES):

Overall, it was a profitable month….primarily thanks to MeanSwing II EMD.

There will be at least one new intraday system and a swing system released in June. Will keep you posted.

MeanSwing II had a profitable month, SentSwing II and the intraday systems had a very poor month.

Similar to last month, the swing systems had a loss overall, and the daytrading systems had a nice profit.

The swing systems had some big losses, and the intraday systems had nice profits.

I don’t know what it is about February, but this is the 4th year in a row with losses overall for these systems. In case you are wondering, every March for the last 5 years has been profitable (and almost every April).

The bad news is that overall it was a losing month for these systems. The good news is that it was a profitable month for the new systems being released now. All brokers now have the SentSwing II and SimpleSwing systems and will likely start trading them next week.

This is the last month I will be posting results for FedSwing, FedSwing II and SentimentSwing. Going forward, SentSwing II and SimpleSwing will be added. SimpleSwing is currently in a long trade, and after it exits I will start tracking the new portfolio compositions. The website has already been updated with the new systems and portfolios – check it out! FYI, you may need to fully refresh (shift + F5) to see the new systems and updated graphics.

SentimentSwing had two winning trades (one short, one long), MeanSwing II had one trade (winner in RTY), and FedSwing/FedSwing II had mixed results. Almost every portfolio was profitable this month.

2017 was a poor year for some of the systems. I’ve already made improvements to SentimentSwing. The long exit and the short entry was adjusted, and additional data streams to measure sentiment were added. The new system will likely be called SentSwing II. I haven’t released it yet because I am still working on a new swing system and want to release them together and revise the systems used in the portfolios (SentSwing II will replace SentimentSwing and the new system will replace FedSwing). I am hopeful this will be completed within the next few weeks.