Monthly Results – July 2019

Posted August 1st, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

MeanSwing3 EMD was the big winner this month. Overall the portfolios did very well. The intraday systems had a few trades at the beginning of the month then went dormant as volatility was low. We shall see if volatility is returning now and there is more trading activity in August.

Monthly Results – June 2019

Posted June 28th, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The majority of trades were winners this month, and every portfolio had a nice profit.

Monthly Results – May 2019

Posted May 31st, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

This was one of the worst months for these trading systems. The first few days of the month were great. We had two systems long with nice open profits, and then Trump announced he was raising tariffs over the weekend. After that the unpredictability of the market made for very tough trading conditions.

Monthly Results – April 2019

Posted April 30th, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

It was a pretty quiet trading month since the stock market had very little movement.

Quiet periods like this don’t last forever. We shall see when something can rock this quietly bullish market.

Monthly Results – March 2019

Posted March 29th, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The standout system this month was SimpleSwing2 ES. Overall, each portfolio had a net profit this month.

Not much to say about the market right now other than not much is happening. The Fed is now neutral to slightly accommodative. Large cap indexes are over their 200 day moving average, and small cap indexes are below. I could make some comments/predictions about this, but it would be waste of time. I think it’s better to let the market do what it does and utilize trading systems to profit from the moves.

Monthly Results – February 2019

Posted February 28th, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

Volatility evaporated from the market this month. Because of the lack of stock market movement there were no daytrades and very few swing trades. When volatility returns, trading activity will pick up.

Monthly Results – January 2019

Posted January 31st, 2019 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The intraday systems had a profit overall. The swing systems had large losses. I will be releasing new swing systems shortly (probably next week).

We went from the white knuckled grip of a bear market in December to a “meh” January. With the change of direction from the Fed and improved breadth in the stock market, we may continue the bullish grind for a while….until the next shoe drops that scares traders.

Monthly Results – December 2018

Posted December 31st, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

To say it was a volatile month might be an understatement. Not surprisingly, the intraday systems overall had a gain for the month, and the swing systems overall had a loss.

2018 will probably be remembered for many years to come. It was an historical year with lots of unusual/rare price movements and politics. For these systems, I am very glad to see the performance of the daytrading systems (especially Spring ES) and saddened to see the poor performance of the swing trading systems. It certainly appears that the mean-reversion character of the stock indexes for the past 20 years has changed. Also, the magnitude of swings has increased such that stop losses are getting hit too frequently. I’m working on new swing systems or filters to use, and will utilize them as soon as testing is complete.

Monthly Results – November 2018

Posted November 30th, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The daytrading systems had a very profitable month, and the swing systems had mixed results.

The market seems like it is getting squeezed between the Fed reducing liquidity yet possibly slowing rate increases, and economic growth slowing with tariff uncertainty yet stock prices wanting to rebound. We shall see if the market picks a direction after the G20 summit this weekend.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
Spring ES 17  $3,870
MeanSwing II EMD 1  $(4,600)
MeanSwing II EMD-A 1  $(4,650)
MeanSwing II EMD-B 1  $(4,820)
MeanSwing II ES 1  $1,288
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $(3,430)
SentSwing II ES 2  $1,225
SentSwing II RTY 1  $(2,540)
SentSwing II YM 2  $1,910
SimpleSwing ES
SimpleSwing NQ
SimpleSwing RTY
SimpleSwing YM
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 18  $(730)
Index Trader II 19  $(3,270)
Index Trader III 27  $860
Index Trader IV 37  $3,180
Index Trader V 46  $7,488
Index Trader I-A 18  $(780)
Index Trader II-A 19  $(3,320)
Index Trader III-A 29  $(680)
Index Trader IV-A 39  $1,130
Index Trader V-A 49  $5,318
Index Trader I-B 18  $(950)
Index Trader II-B 19  $(3,490)
Index Trader III-B 27  $(2,570)
Index Trader IV-B 36  $70
Index Trader V-B 46  $3,848
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – October 2018

Posted October 31st, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

This was a month for the record books. We had a pretty large and fast market drop but didn’t have as much of a volatility spike in the VIX as previous selloffs. Also, media coverage wasn’t nearly as high as previous selloffs. Maybe this due to all of the political theater, but it also may be representative of complacency. It doesn’t seem to me that this is another dip like the ones we’ve had in the bullish move up since 2009. The market is not acting the same as it has in the past. Of course, this is always true to an extent, but my personal opinion is that this time it’s different.

This month the swing systems had large losses and the intraday systems had big gains. Since February, I have shifted my trading system development to intraday trading systems and option trading. I have released 2 intraday systems this year and hope to have more before the end of the year. I have already closed the Index Swing portfolios, and going forward I may even discontinue more of the swing systems. In addition to the stock indexes, I am working on systems for other futures as well. Going forward, I am looking to keep overnight risk down and get more diversification from other markets.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
Spring ES 13  $6,793
MeanSwing II EMD 2  $(8,450)
MeanSwing II EMD-A 2  $(8,310)
MeanSwing II EMD-B 2  $(8,420)
MeanSwing II ES 2  $(9,475)
MeanSwing II RTY 2  $(9,680)
SentSwing II ES 3  $(2,725)
SentSwing II RTY 3  $(4,135)
SentSwing II YM 3  $(3,210)
SimpleSwing ES 1  $(2,550)
SimpleSwing NQ 1  $(2,540)
SimpleSwing RTY 1  $(2,540)
SimpleSwing YM 1  $(2,540)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 15  $(1,658)
Index Trader II 18  $(5,793)
Index Trader III 28  $(7,453)
Index Trader IV 40  $(6,353)
Index Trader V 55  $(13,708)
Index Trader I-A 15  $(1,518)
Index Trader II-A 18  $(5,653)
Index Trader III-A 28  $(6,653)
Index Trader IV-A 40  $(5,123)
Index Trader V-A 55  $(11,268)
Index Trader I-B 15  $(1,628)
Index Trader II-B 18  $(5,763)
Index Trader III-B 28  $(7,643)
Index Trader IV-B 37  $(5,343)
Index Trader V-B 52  $(14,848)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com