Monthly Results – March 2018

Posted March 29th, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

Similar to last month, the swing systems had a loss overall, and the daytrading systems had a nice profit.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
MeanSwing II EMD 1  $4,130
MeanSwing II EMD-A 1  $60
MeanSwing II EMD-B 1  $380
MeanSwing II ES 1  $(3,650)
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $1,630
SentSwing II ES 2  $(3,175)
SentSwing II NQ 2  $(5,080)
SentSwing II RTY 1  $(1,965)
SentSwing II YM 1  $(1,315)
SimpleSwing ES 1  $(2,550)
SimpleSwing NQ 1  $(2,540)
SimpleSwing RTY 1  $(2,540)
SimpleSwing YM 2  $115
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 4  $(2,595)
Index Trader II 5  $1,535
Index Trader III 13  $505
Index Trader IV 28  $(2,445)
Index Trader V 30  $(6,925)
Index Trader I-A 5  $(2,355)
Index Trader II-A 6  $(2,295)
Index Trader III-A 15  $(4,465)
Index Trader IV-A 27  $(7,925)
Index Trader V-A 29  $(12,405)
Index Trader I-B 5  $(3,085)
Index Trader II-B 6  $(2,705)
Index Trader III-B 15  $(4,095)
Index Trader IV-B 27  $(8,055)
Index Trader V-B 29  $(12,535)
Index Swing 2 3  $955
Index Swing 3 4  $(1,595)
Index Swing 4 6  $(6,675)
Index Swing 5 7  $(10,325)
Index Swing 6 9  $(10,210)
Index Swing 2-A 3  $(3,115)
Index Swing 3-A 4  $(5,665)
Index Swing 4-A 6  $(10,745)
Index Swing 5-A 7  $(14,395)
Index Swing 6-A 9  $(14,280)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – February 2018

Posted February 28th, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The swing systems had some big losses, and the intraday systems had nice profits.

I don’t know what it is about February, but this is the 4th year in a row with losses overall for these systems. In case you are wondering, every March for the last 5 years has been profitable (and almost every April).

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
MeanSwing II EMD 1  $(5,230)
MeanSwing II EMD-A 1  $(5,300)
MeanSwing II EMD-B 1  $(5,240)
MeanSwing II ES 1  $(5,050)
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $(5,080)
SentSwing II ES 3  $(1,963)
SentSwing II NQ 2  $(520)
SentSwing II RTY 2  $(205)
SentSwing II YM 2  $(1,505)
SimpleSwing ES
SimpleSwing NQ
SimpleSwing RTY
SimpleSwing YM
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 11  $(4,553)
Index Trader II 14  $(9,453)
Index Trader III 21  $(8,763)
Index Trader IV 36  $(8,853)
Index Trader V 43  $(11,713)
Index Trader I-A 10  $(3,483)
Index Trader II-A 13  $(8,463)
Index Trader III-A 20  $(9,233)
Index Trader IV-A 35  $(11,433)
Index Trader V-A 42  $(14,413)
Index Trader I-B 13  $(6,193)
Index Trader II-B 16  $(11,013)
Index Trader III-B 22  $(11,103)
Index Trader IV-B 40  $(11,713)
Index Trader V-B 47  $(14,583)
Index Swing 2 5  $(9,743)
Index Swing 3 5  $(9,743)
Index Swing 4 8  $(12,803)
Index Swing 5 9  $(17,853)
Index Swing 6 10  $(16,463)
Index Swing 2-A 5  $(9,813)
Index Swing 3-A 5  $(9,813)
Index Swing 4-A 8  $(12,873)
Index Swing 5-A 9  $(17,923)
Index Swing 6-A 10  $(16,533)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – January 2018

Posted January 31st, 2018 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

The bad news is that overall it was a losing month for these systems. The good news is that it was a profitable month for the new systems being released now. All brokers now have the SentSwing II and SimpleSwing systems and will likely start trading them next week.

This is the last month I will be posting results for FedSwing, FedSwing II and SentimentSwing. Going forward, SentSwing II and SimpleSwing will be added. SimpleSwing is currently in a long trade, and after it exits I will start tracking the new portfolio compositions. The website has already been updated with the new systems and portfolios – check it out! FYI, you may need to fully refresh (shift + F5) to see the new systems and updated graphics.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(1,238)
FedSwing RTY 2  $360
FedSwing YM 1  $(1,170)
FedSwing II ES 1  $(1,238)
FedSwing II NQ 1  $(3,040)
FedSwing II RTY 1  $(2,910)
MeanSwing II EMD
MeanSwing II EMD-A
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II RTY
SentimentSwing ES 3  $(588)
SentimentSwing NQ 3  $(365)
SentimentSwing RTY 3  $(975)
SentimentSwing YM 3  $2,855
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 3  $(588)
Index Trader II 3  $(588)
Index Trader III 4  $(1,825)
Index Trader IV 14  $(4,250)
Index Trader V 14  $(4,250)
Index Trader I-A 3  $(588)
Index Trader II-A 3  $(588)
Index Trader III-A 4  $(1,825)
Index Trader IV-A 14  $(3,290)
Index Trader V-A 14  $(3,290)
Index Trader I-B 3  $(588)
Index Trader II-B 3  $(588)
Index Trader III-B 4  $(1,825)
Index Trader IV-B 12  $(2,170)
Index Trader V-B 12  $(2,170)
Index Swing 2 3  $(588)
Index Swing 3 4  $(1,825)
Index Swing 4 7  $(2,190)
Index Swing 5 7  $(2,190)
Index Swing 6 9  $(1,830)
Index Swing 2-A 3  $(588)
Index Swing 3-A 4  $(1,825)
Index Swing 4-A 7  $(2,190)
Index Swing 5-A 7  $(2,190)
Index Swing 6-A 9  $(1,830)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – December 2017

Posted December 29th, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

SentimentSwing had two winning trades (one short, one long), MeanSwing II had one trade (winner in RTY), and FedSwing/FedSwing II had mixed results. Almost every portfolio was profitable this month.

2017 was a poor year for some of the systems. I’ve already made improvements to SentimentSwing. The long exit and the short entry was adjusted, and additional data streams to measure sentiment were added. The new system will likely be called SentSwing II. I haven’t released it yet because I am still working on a new swing system and want to release them together and revise the systems used in the portfolios (SentSwing II will replace SentimentSwing and the new system will replace FedSwing). I am hopeful this will be completed within the next few weeks.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(1,513)
FedSwing RTY 1  $1,570
FedSwing YM
FedSwing II ES 1  $(763)
FedSwing II NQ 1  $(1,350)
FedSwing II RTY 1  $1,330
MeanSwing II EMD
MeanSwing II EMD-A
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $1,090
SentimentSwing ES 2  $1,413
SentimentSwing NQ 2  $3,255
SentimentSwing RTY 2  $2,065
SentimentSwing YM 2  $1,465
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 2  $1,413
Index Trader II 2  $1,413
Index Trader III 3  $(100)
Index Trader IV 7  $1,795
Index Trader V 7  $1,795
Index Trader I-A 2  $1,413
Index Trader II-A 2  $1,413
Index Trader III-A 3  $(100)
Index Trader IV-A 7  $1,795
Index Trader V-A 7  $1,795
Index Trader I-B 2  $1,413
Index Trader II-B 2  $1,413
Index Trader III-B 3  $(100)
Index Trader IV-B 6  $2,475
Index Trader V-B 6  $2,475
Index Swing 2 2  $1,413
Index Swing 3 3  $(100)
Index Swing 4 5  $3,155
Index Swing 5 5  $3,155
Index Swing 6 6  $4,725
Index Swing 2-A 2  $1,413
Index Swing 3-A 3  $(100)
Index Swing 4-A 5  $3,155
Index Swing 5-A 5  $3,155
Index Swing 6-A 6  $4,725
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – November 2017

Posted November 30th, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

Continuing the same theme this year, MeanSwing II had a profit and the other systems had a loss.

I am in the process of finalizing new and modified swing systems. I will be revising the systems used in the portfolios. FedSwing will probably be retired.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 2  $(1,250)
FedSwing RTY 1  $(2,430)
FedSwing YM 1  $(675)
FedSwing II ES 1  $25
FedSwing II NQ 2  $(585)
FedSwing II RTY
MeanSwing II EMD 1  $1,800
MeanSwing II EMD-A
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES 1  $1,038
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $1,040
SentimentSwing ES 2  $(1,400)
SentimentSwing NQ 2  $(1,945)
SentimentSwing RTY 2  $(770)
SentimentSwing YM 2  $(1,250)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 2  $(1,400)
Index Trader II 3  $400
Index Trader III 5  $(850)
Index Trader IV 11  $(3,355)
Index Trader V 12  $(2,318)
Index Trader I-A 2  $(1,400)
Index Trader II-A 2  $(1,400)
Index Trader III-A 4  $(2,650)
Index Trader IV-A 8  $(5,055)
Index Trader V-A 9  $(4,018)
Index Trader I-B 2  $(1,400)
Index Trader II-B 2  $(1,400)
Index Trader III-B 4  $(2,650)
Index Trader IV-B 8  $(5,065)
Index Trader V-B 9  $(4,028)
Index Swing 2 3  $400
Index Swing 3 5  $(850)
Index Swing 4 7  $(2,795)
Index Swing 5 8  $(1,758)
Index Swing 6 9  $(4,188)
Index Swing 2-A 2  $(1,400)
Index Swing 3-A 4  $(2,650)
Index Swing 4-A 6  $(4,595)
Index Swing 5-A 7  $(3,558)
Index Swing 6-A 8  $(5,988)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – October 2017

Posted October 31st, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

MeanSwing II had a gain, but the other systems that traded had a loss for the month.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(1,263)
FedSwing RTY
FedSwing YM
FedSwing II ES 1  $(1,263)
FedSwing II NQ 1  $(2,515)
FedSwing II RTY
MeanSwing II EMD 1  $660
MeanSwing II EMD-A 1  $440
MeanSwing II EMD-B 1  $620
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $160
SentimentSwing ES 3  $(1,363)
SentimentSwing NQ 3  $(3,440)
SentimentSwing RTY 3  $(1,360)
SentimentSwing YM 3  $(690)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 3  $(1,363)
Index Trader II 4  $(703)
Index Trader III 5  $(1,965)
Index Trader IV 12  $(6,895)
Index Trader V 12  $(6,895)
Index Trader I-A 3  $(1,363)
Index Trader II-A 4  $(923)
Index Trader III-A 5  $(2,185)
Index Trader IV-A 11  $(6,775)
Index Trader V-A 11  $(6,775)
Index Trader I-B 3  $(1,363)
Index Trader II-B 4  $(743)
Index Trader III-B 5  $(2,005)
Index Trader IV-B 11  $(6,435)
Index Trader V-B 11  $(6,435)
Index Swing 2 4  $(703)
Index Swing 3 5  $(1,965)
Index Swing 4 8  $(5,405)
Index Swing 5 8  $(5,405)
Index Swing 6 8  $(5,405)
Index Swing 2-A 4  $(923)
Index Swing 3-A 5  $(2,185)
Index Swing 4-A 8  $(5,625)
Index Swing 5-A 8  $(5,625)
Index Swing 6-A 8  $(5,625)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – September 2017

Posted September 29th, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

Volatility dried up again in September and is at historical lows. For example, the VIX closed the month at 9.51, and the highest close of the month was 12.23 (9/5). By several measures, this was the least volatile September ever. This is quite remarkable! We’ve had tough trading conditions for several months in a row now. I never enjoy losing periods, but now is probably a good time to start trading these systems or increase allocations. I know it is hard to do, but isn’t it that way most of the time in trading?

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(1,013)
FedSwing RTY 1  $(2,100)
FedSwing YM 2  $(110)
FedSwing II ES 1  $(2,163)
FedSwing II NQ 1  $(1,035)
FedSwing II RTY 2  $(6,160)
MeanSwing II EMD
MeanSwing II EMD-A
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II RTY 1  $(4,480)
SentimentSwing ES 3  $(1,113)
SentimentSwing NQ 3  $(940)
SentimentSwing RTY 3  $(435)
SentimentSwing YM 3  $(1,320)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader II 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader III 4  $(2,125)
Index Trader IV 8  $(3,145)
Index Trader V 8  $(3,145)
Index Trader I-A 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader II-A 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader III-A 4  $(2,125)
Index Trader IV-A 8  $(3,135)
Index Trader V-A 8  $(3,135)
Index Trader I-B 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader II-B 3  $(1,113)
Index Trader III-B 4  $(2,125)
Index Trader IV-B 9  $(3,175)
Index Trader V-B 9  $(3,175)
Index Swing 2 3  $(1,113)
Index Swing 3 4  $(2,125)
Index Swing 4 7  $(3,065)
Index Swing 5 7  $(3,065)
Index Swing 6 8  $(5,165)
Index Swing 2-A 3  $(1,113)
Index Swing 3-A 4  $(2,125)
Index Swing 4-A 7  $(3,065)
Index Swing 5-A 7  $(3,065)
Index Swing 6-A 8  $(5,165)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – August 2017

Posted August 31st, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

This ended up being the most actively traded month this year for Trendfinder’s systems. Two swing systems had a profit, one daytrading system was very active and ended about breakeven, and the rest of the systems that traded had a loss. MeanSwing II had its first losing trade in 18 months. What really threw a wrench in the swing systems were the missile launches by North Korea. They spiked prices down (and volatility up) for a very short time, triggered stops or exits/reversals, then the market went back to its normal flow. Unfortunately that is a part of trading.

In September, there could be heightened volatility due to 1) an FOMC meeting where they may announce the actual start date of the balance sheet reduction (instead of just saying what they plan to do), 2) debt ceiling politics (Trump tweets anyone?), and 3) any more posturing from North Korea (fire a missile that flies over Tokyo?). And, of course, something else could happen not mentioned here. Or, September could end up being a non-event, the VIX is back to single digits, and all of the stock market indices make new all time highs. If the latter happens then trading will be light.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $238
FedSwing TF
FedSwing YM
FedSwing II ES
FedSwing II NQ
FedSwing II TF
MeanSwing II EMD 2  $(2,870)
MeanSwing II EMD-A 2  $(3,000)
MeanSwing II EMD-B 2  $(3,010)
MeanSwing II ES 1  $1,175
MeanSwing II TF 2  $(3,090)
SentimentSwing ES 4  $(2,300)
SentimentSwing NQ 4  $(3,950)
SentimentSwing TF 4  $(1,795)
SentimentSwing YM 4  $(2,790)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 4  $(2,300)
Index Trader II 6  $(5,170)
Index Trader III 7  $(4,933)
Index Trader IV 19  $(9,023)
Index Trader V 20  $(7,848)
Index Trader I-A 4  $(2,300)
Index Trader II-A 6  $(5,300)
Index Trader III-A 7  $(5,063)
Index Trader IV-A 19  $(9,273)
Index Trader V-A 20  $(8,098)
Index Trader I-B 4  $(2,300)
Index Trader II-B 6  $(5,310)
Index Trader III-B 7  $(5,073)
Index Trader IV-B 19  $(9,013)
Index Trader V-B 20  $(7,838)
Index Swing 2 6  $(5,170)
Index Swing 3 7  $(4,933)
Index Swing 4 11  $(8,883)
Index Swing 5 12  $(7,708)
Index Swing 6 12  $(7,708)
Index Swing 2-A 6  $(5,300)
Index Swing 3-A 7  $(5,063)
Index Swing 4-A 11  $(9,013)
Index Swing 5-A 12  $(7,838)
Index Swing 6-A 12  $(7,838)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – July 2017

Posted July 31st, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

Trading was light this month. FedSwing and FedSwing II each had one win and three losses. SentimentSwing had a profitable trade in every market. Almost all of the portfolios ended with a small gain.

July 2017 may go down as an historical month based on the lowest levels of volatility ever seen.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(1,088)
FedSwing TF 2  $760
FedSwing YM 1  $(535)
FedSwing II ES 1  $(700)
FedSwing II NQ 1  $(1,655)
FedSwing II TF 2  $(410)
MeanSwing II EMD
MeanSwing II EMD-A
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II TF
SentimentSwing ES 1  $575
SentimentSwing NQ 1  $915
SentimentSwing TF 1  $205
SentimentSwing YM 1  $355
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 1  $575
Index Trader II 1  $575
Index Trader III 2  $(513)
Index Trader IV 3  $403
Index Trader V 3  $403
Index Trader I-A 1  $575
Index Trader II-A 1  $575
Index Trader III-A 2  $(513)
Index Trader IV-A 3  $403
Index Trader V-A 3  $403
Index Trader I-B 1  $575
Index Trader II-B 1  $575
Index Trader III-B 2  $(513)
Index Trader IV-B 3  $403
Index Trader V-B 3  $403
Index Swing 2 1  $575
Index Swing 3 2  $(513)
Index Swing 4 3  $403
Index Swing 5 3  $403
Index Swing 6 5  $1,163
Index Swing 2-A 1  $575
Index Swing 3-A 2  $(513)
Index Swing 4-A 3  $403
Index Swing 5-A 3  $403
Index Swing 6-A 5  $1,163
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com

Monthly Results – June 2017

Posted June 30th, 2017 by Trendfinder and filed in Results - Monthly

There were a handful of good trades this month, but the rest were losses.

Monthly Hypothetical Results (trades that exited this month)
(commission and slippage included, see Disclosures in top menu)
Swing Systems # Trades Net Profit
FedSwing ES 1  $(2,700)
FedSwing TF 1  $(3,080)
FedSwing YM 1  $(2,400)
FedSwing II ES 1  $300
FedSwing II NQ 2  $5,475
FedSwing II TF 1  $(850)
MeanSwing II EMD
MeanSwing II EMD-A 1  $1,170
MeanSwing II EMD-B
MeanSwing II ES
MeanSwing II TF 1  $1,360
SentimentSwing ES 2  $(938)
SentimentSwing NQ 2  $(430)
SentimentSwing TF 2  $(1,285)
SentimentSwing YM 2  $(380)
Portfolios # Trades Net Profit
Index Trader I 2  $(938)
Index Trader II 2  $(938)
Index Trader III 3  $(3,638)
Index Trader IV 5  $(4,068)
Index Trader V 5  $(4,068)
Index Trader I-A 2  $(938)
Index Trader II-A 3  $233
Index Trader III-A 4  $(2,468)
Index Trader IV-A 6  $(2,898)
Index Trader V-A 6  $(2,898)
Index Trader I-B 2  $(938)
Index Trader II-B 2  $(938)
Index Trader III-B 3  $(3,638)
Index Trader IV-B 5  $(4,068)
Index Trader V-B 5  $(4,068)
Index Swing 2 2  $(938)
Index Swing 3 3  $(3,638)
Index Swing 4 5  $(4,068)
Index Swing 5 5  $(4,068)
Index Swing 6 6  $(7,148)
Index Swing 2-A 3  $233
Index Swing 3-A 4  $(2,468)
Index Swing 4-A 6  $(2,898)
Index Swing 5-A 6  $(2,898)
Index Swing 6-A 7  $(5,978)
For more information go to
www.trendfindertrading.com